Alaves sit in 14th with 43 points after 37 games while Rayo Vallecano hold eighth on 47. That gap tells its own story heading into this final day clash.
Rayo arrive with some momentum too. They beat Villarreal 2-0 on 17 May then shared 1-1 draws with Valencia and Girona. Alaves have lost just once in their last five and grabbed a 2-2 draw against Las Palmas in their most recent outing. Both sides know a point changes little in the table yet pride still matters.
Injuries and bans will shape the afternoon. Alaves cannot call on Facundo Garcés who serves a suspension or Abde Rebbach who is sidelined by injury. Rayo face similar disruption with Unai López and Isi Palazón both suspended plus Luiz Felipe and Ilias Akhomach missing through knocks. Those absences should blunt attacking edges on both teams.
Expect a cagey contest. Rayo have shown they can grind out results away from home and Alaves rarely throw caution aside at this stage. A low scoring draw looks the likeliest outcome though Rayo carry just enough quality to snatch all three points if they stay patient.
Recommended Bets
Draw @2.40 — Rayo have drawn their last two and Alaves remain hard to break down at home.
Under 2.5 goals @1.75 — Both teams average under three goals per game lately and key attackers are missing.
Rayo Vallecano +0.25 @1.90 — Better league position and recent results give them the edge on a tight afternoon.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
