Alaves close out the campaign at home against a Rayo side that has quietly collected points all spring. The hosts sit fourteenth with forty three points after thirty seven games, their goal difference stuck at minus eleven. Rayo occupy eighth on forty seven, a modest improvement on last season but nothing more.
Recent results point to two sides that rarely blow games open. Alaves have lost just once in their last five outings and signed off with a two two draw against Las Palmas. Rayo picked up a two nil win at Villarreal on the seventeenth of May before following it with one one draws against Valencia and Girona.
Both teams will be without several players. Alaves miss Facundo Garcés through suspension and Abde Rebbach through injury. Rayo are short of Unai López and Isi Palazón, both suspended, plus Luiz Felipe and Ilias Akhomach who are injured. The absences should limit attacking fluency on a warm late May afternoon.
With nothing tangible at stake beyond final league positions this fixture rarely produces fireworks. Rayo have shown slightly more control lately while Alaves tend to sit deeper at Mendizorrotza. Expect a measured contest where chances come in bursts rather than waves.
Apuestas recomendadas
Rayo Vallecano win or draw @1.55 — They hold four more points than Alaves and have avoided defeat in their last three outings.
Under 2.5 goals @1.82 — Both teams average fewer than 2.4 goals per game across their recent matches and defensive records are solid.
Alaves +0.25 Asian handicap @1.95 — The home side have only lost once in five and usually stay compact on home soil even without key personnel.
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