West Ham sit in deep trouble at the bottom of the table with just one game left. They need a win and favours elsewhere if they want to avoid the drop this season.
Leeds arrive at the London Stadium in much better shape. Fourteenth place with 47 points means they can relax and play without pressure on the final day of 2025/2026.
West Ham's recent form makes grim reading. Losses to Brentford, Arsenal and Newcastle have left them staring at relegation with 36 points from 37 games. Leeds have picked up better results lately, including a win over Burnley and a draw against Tottenham.
Injuries hit both sides hard. West Ham miss Adama Traoré with a thigh issue and Lukasz Fabianski through a back problem. Leeds have Anton Stach doubtful with an ankle complaint plus Jayden Bogle and Noah Okafor ruled out until late May 2026 with hamstring and calf injuries.
The predicted lineups show some familiar names. West Ham go with a 4-3-3 featuring Areola in goal, Wan-Bissaka, Disasi, Mavropanos and Todibo across the back, Soucek, Fernandes and Potts in midfield and Bowen, Summerville plus Wilson up top according to OneFootball and Fotmob. Leeds line up in a 3-4-2-1 with Hermansen behind Disasi, Mavropanos and Todibo, Wan-Bissaka, Soucek, Fernandes and Diouf in the middle and Bowen, Summerville and Wilson leading the attack per Fotmob.
Jarrod Bowen leads West Ham's scoring with eight goals this season. Callum Wilson has six while Soucek, Summerville and Castellanos sit on five each. That attacking threat gives them a real chance if they can find their rhythm early.
Leeds hold a solid goal difference of minus four after 37 matches. They have scored 49 times and conceded 53, numbers that reflect a mid-table side happy to see the campaign end.
This matchweek 38 finale carries huge stakes for the home side alone. West Ham must take all three points and hope Tottenham drop points against Everton to have any realistic hope of survival.
Recommended Bets
West Ham United to win @2.15 — They sit bottom with 36 points and need maximum points plus other results to stay up.
Over 2.5 goals @1.95 — West Ham's attack featuring Bowen and Wilson should create chances against a relaxed Leeds defence.
Jarrod Bowen anytime goalscorer @2.40 — He has eight goals already and faces a Leeds side with little to play for on the final day.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.