Roma arrive at this final Serie A fixture carrying real momentum while Hellas Verona sit deep in the relegation mire. The visitors have collected five wins and a draw from their last six outings overall, a run that has kept them in fourth place with 70 points from 37 games. Verona, by contrast, occupy 19th spot on just 21 points after the same number of matches and their recent results tell their own story.
Those last five games for the hosts read like a survival scramble. A 1-1 draw against Inter on 17 May followed by losses to Como and AC Milan plus further stalemates with Juventus and Lecce show a side that rarely creates enough to win. Injuries have compounded the problem. Roberto Gagliardini sits out through suspension while Daniel Oyegoke, Suat Serdar and Daniel Mosquera all miss out with ankle, ACL and knee issues respectively.
Roma carry their own absences into the match. Evan Ndicka, M. Koné, Bryan Zaragoza and Evan Ferguson are all ruled out by injury while Wesley serves a suspension. That leaves a probable 1-3-4-2-1 shape featuring Svilar in goal, Hermoso, N'Dicka and Mancini across the back and Cristante alongside Soulé in support of Malen up front. Verona are expected to line up in a 1-3-5-1-1 with Montipò between the posts and G. Orban the main threat in attack.
This is round 38 and the stakes could hardly be clearer. Verona need points to drag themselves clear of the drop zone. Roma want a result that strengthens their grip on a Champions League place. Yet the gap in current form and league position suggests the away side hold the clearer advantage. Expect Roma to control territory and create the better openings, though Verona have shown they can grind out draws when they keep things tight at the back.
Recommended Bets
Roma win @1.75 — their 5W 1D 0L run in the last six clashes with a side that has won just once in five.
Under 2.5 goals @2.10 — Verona's last five games produced only four goals total and Roma often keep things controlled on the road.
Roma -1 Asian handicap @2.05 — the four-place and 49-point gap plus Verona's injury list points to a comfortable margin for the visitors.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
