Cremonese sit in deep trouble at the foot of the table and they know another defeat could seal their fate on the last day of the season. They head into this clash with just 34 points from 37 games and a goal difference that reads 31-53. Their recent run tells its own story too, with four defeats in the last five and only a single win to show for it.
Como arrive in much better shape, sitting fifth with 68 points and a far superior record of 61 goals scored. They've picked up seven points from their last four outings despite a couple of narrow losses along the way. The visitors still have Europa League hopes to chase and that should keep them sharp even if the title race is long gone for them.
One meeting this season ended level at 1-1 back in September, and that tight scoreline might hint at another cagey affair here. Cremonese will line up in their familiar 3-5-2 with Audero in goal and Bonazzoli leading the line after his nine goals this term. Yet injuries to Bondo, Ceccherini, Moumbagna and Baschirotto leave gaps in both defense and attack that Como can target.
Como's own injury list includes Valle, Paz and Addai, but their expected 4-2-3-1 still looks potent with Da Cunha and Perrone pulling the strings in midfield. Those two have been in good nick lately and Cremonese's leaky backline could struggle to contain them over 90 minutes.
The hosts showed fight in their 3-0 win over Pisa last time out but followed that with a 0-1 defeat to Udinese. That inconsistency has defined their campaign and now they face a Como side that held Napoli to a goalless draw recently. Expect Cremonese to start fast and look for an early goal through Bonazzoli or the Vardy option up top.
Como have won just seven of their 37 matches on the road this term though, and they cannot afford to switch off with European places still up for grabs. Cremonese's home record has been patchy at best but desperation often produces results on final day fixtures like this one.
Recommended Bets
Cremonese +1 Handicap @1.90 — Bottom side fighting relegation on final day with strong home motivation despite poor recent form.
Under 2.5 Goals @1.85 — Only one prior meeting this season ended 1-1 and both teams carry defensive injuries that limit attacking threat.
Bonazzoli Anytime Goalscorer @2.40 — Cremonese top scorer with nine goals steps up in a must-win game against a Como defense missing key players.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
