Celta Vigo sit pretty in sixth with 51 points and a Europa League spot dangling right in front of them. Sevilla sit 13th on 43 points, already safe and with little left to fight for this late in the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors have won three of their last five but dropped a 0-1 decision to Real Madrid just six days ago.
Borja Iglesias has bagged 14 goals already and Ferran Jutglà sits on nine, so the home attack carries real threat. Celta's recent form reads mixed though, with a draw against Athletic Bilbao sandwiching a loss to Levante. They did edge Atlético Madrid 1-0 earlier this month and that kind of result shows they can grind when it matters.
Sevilla's last five include three wins but also a defeat to Osasuna and that narrow reverse at the Bernabéu. Their squad carries absences too, with Marcão out from a scaphoid fracture and Manu Bueno sidelined by knee edema. Celta miss Carl Starfelt through injury and Miguel Román with a metatarsal fracture, yet the squad depth looks sufficient for one final push.
The only head-to-head note from this season shows Sevilla falling 0-1 at home to Celta. That result hints at a tight affair again, but the motivation gap feels clear. Celta need the points far more and should control proceedings against a side already looking toward the summer break.
Expect the home side to press early and use their attacking options to stretch a Sevilla defense that has conceded in each of its last three outings. A clean sheet might prove tricky given Celta's own leaky back line lately, yet the quality up front should tip the balance.
Recommended Bets
Celta Vigo to win @1.85 — stronger motivation for Europa League spot and better recent results against top sides
Over 2.5 goals @2.10 — both teams averaging high-scoring games in recent matches with multiple wins by two-goal margins
Borja Iglesias anytime goalscorer @2.30 — leading scorer with 14 goals and facing a Sevilla side low on motivation
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
