USA square off against Belgium in a Round of 16 clash that carries plenty of baggage. The sides last met at a World Cup in 2014 when Belgium edged it 2-1. This time the Americans arrive with fresh momentum after their 2-0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina that secured first knockout advancement in 24 years.
Belgium needed extra time to beat Senegal 3-2 and keep their campaign alive. They also hammered New Zealand 5-1 and drew their other group games. Their 5-2 friendly victory over the USA back in March shows they know how to hurt this opponent when both teams are at full strength.
Balogun sits out for the Americans after his red card. Pepi steps up as the main striker threat while Pulisic and McKennie carry the creative load. Belgium lean on Lukaku for goals, Tielemans for midfield control and De Bruyne to unlock defenses. No reported absences weaken their side.
And the head-to-head tells its own story. Belgium have won three of the last four meetings, including that March thrashing. USA did claim a 4-0 friendly win in 2013 but that feels distant now. At Lumen Field expect a tight affair where Belgium's experience in big games could tip the balance.
USA won't roll over. Their recent results show defensive steel in the 2-0 wins against Bosnia and Australia. Yet Belgium's attack has clicked at the right time. A repeat of the 5-2 scoreline looks unlikely but the Red Devils should still have the edge in open play.
Belgium advanced via a comeback and they have the quality to do it again if needed. USA must avoid another heavy defeat like the March friendly. The game promises goals with both teams pushing forward in knockout football.
Recommended Bets
Belgium to win @1.75 — They beat USA 5-2 in March and sit on strong recent scoring form including 5-1 and 3-2 results.
Over 2.5 goals @1.90 — Four of Belgium's last five games went over and the March friendly finished 7-7 on aggregate goals.
Belgium -0.5 handicap @1.80 — Their knockout experience and head-to-head record suggest they clear this line more often than not.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
