Mexico sit on a serious run heading into this World Cup last-16 tie. Four straight wins, all clean sheets, and they topped their group without dropping a point. That kind of form at the Azteca makes them dangerous opponents for anyone.
England arrive after a mixed group campaign that included a draw with Ghana and a late comeback against DR Congo. Their attack has looked sharp at times, especially with Harry Kane grabbing a brace in the round of 32. But the altitude here will test their legs more than most.
Raúl Jiménez and Julián Quiñones carry Mexico's threat up front while Edson Álvarez anchors the midfield. England will lean on Kane and Jude Bellingham to create chances, though Declan Rice has shaken off a back issue and should feature. Reece James remains doubtful with his hamstring and Tino Livramento is already out of the tournament.
Predicted lineups point to a Mexico 4-3-3 with Raúl Rangel in goal and Julián Quiñones leading the line. England look set for a 4-2-3-1 shape built around Kane. These are projections only, with official teams still to be confirmed.
The high altitude at the Azteca has already been flagged as a major factor. Mexico have thrived in these conditions so far and their defensive record suggests they won't give England much space. England have the quality to nick a goal, yet the hosts' momentum and home comfort stand out.
Expect Mexico to control large spells and look to nick it on the counter. Kane remains their biggest worry, but if Álvarez and the back line stay organised the home side should have enough.
Recommended Bets
Mexico to win @2.30 — undefeated run and home advantage at altitude give them the edge over England.
Under 2.5 goals @1.85 — Mexico kept four clean sheets in a row while England drew 0-0 in their last group game.
Harry Kane anytime goalscorer @1.95 — in-form striker who scored twice in the round of 32 and England need his threat here.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
