The United States face Paraguay in their World Cup opener with real questions hanging over recent form. They've lost three of their last four friendlies, including that 1-2 defeat to Germany just a week ago. Paraguay arrive on the back of a convincing 4-0 win over Nicaragua but their own record shows inconsistency too.
Christian Pulisic stands out as the man to watch for the hosts. His attacking threat could stretch a Paraguay side that leans on Gustavo Gómez for defensive leadership. Folarin Balogun's sharp club form adds another layer to the US attack, though the absence of Chris Richards with his ankle issue leaves the backline a touch exposed. Paraguay will miss Julio Enciso's creativity after his thigh injury, even if Damian Bobadilla has returned to training.
These teams last met in November 2025 when the US won 2-1. That result came in a friendly, yet it hints at a narrow edge for the hosts on home soil. Paraguay's setup often revolves around Miguel Almirón and a solid central pairing with Omar Alderete alongside Gómez. The predicted US lineup features Matt Freese in goal, with Antonee Robinson and Sergino Dest providing width while Weston McKennie and Malik Tillman support the midfield.
Under Pochettino the Americans want a positive start in Group D. They have the firepower to create chances, but their defensive record in recent matches suggests they can't afford lapses. Paraguay will look to stay compact and hit on the break, banking on Almirón's influence if Enciso stays sidelined.
Expect the game to open up once the US settle. Balogun and Pulisic should find space against a Paraguay defense that has conceded in two of their last three outings. Still, the visitors won't roll over easily given their recent shutout win.
Recommended Bets
United States -0.5 @1.85 — Their attacking options like Pulisic and Balogun should create enough against Paraguay's depleted attack.
Over 2.5 goals @2.10 — US have averaged over 2.5 in recent friendlies while Paraguay's games have been open.
Christian Pulisic anytime goalscorer @2.40 — He remains the standout threat for the hosts in this Group D opener.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
