Turkey's World Cup is already over. They've lost both games and sit bottom of Group D with nothing left to play for when they meet the United States at SoFi Stadium.
The Americans sit top after two wins. They beat Australia 2-0 and Paraguay 4-1. Those results gave them six points and qualification secured. Turkey lost 0-2 to Australia and 0-1 to Paraguay. Their campaign ends here regardless of the result.
Expect plenty of changes in the US side. Christian Pulisic has a calf issue and may not feature. Tyler Adams, Folarin Balogun, Chris Richards and Antonee Robinson all carry yellow cards and look likely to be rested. Turkey have Kenan Yildiz available after his earlier calf problem. Arda Güler and Hakan Çalhanoğlu remain central to anything they try to create.
Predicted Turkey lineup runs with Uğurcan Çakır in goal, a back four of Zeki Çelik, Merih Demiral, Ozan Kabak and Ferdi Kadıoğlu, midfield options including Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kaan Ayhan, then Arda Güler, Orkun Kökçü and Kerem Aktürkoğlu supporting Kenan Yıldız. The United States will probably rotate heavily around Matt Turner, Sergino Dest, Weston McKennie and others.
Turkey have shown little attacking threat in their two defeats. The United States have scored freely when they needed to. A comfortable home win feels the most likely outcome even with the rotations.
And with both teams already knowing their fate, the match carries that dead-rubber feel. Fans will still turn up hoping for goals and standout moments from players like Güler or a fit Pulisic if he gets minutes.
Recommended Bets
United States win @1.45 — They have taken maximum points from their two games while Turkey have none.
United States -1.5 handicap @2.20 — Their 4-1 and 2-0 wins show they can put teams away even in low-stakes fixtures.
Over 2.5 goals @2.00 — Six goals across the US matches and three conceded by Turkey suggest an open game.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
