As La Liga action heats up on 2026-02-27, Levante host Alaves at the Ciutat de València in a crucial encounter. Levante, languishing in 19th place with 18 points from 25 matches, are embroiled in a relegation scrap, having secured just four wins this season. Alaves sit more comfortably in 14th with 27 points, pushing for mid-table security despite their away struggles. This match pits a side desperate for points against one seeking to solidify their position, with no added derby intensity to fuel the fire.
Levante's recent form has been dismal, with four losses in their last five outings: a 0-3 home defeat to Barcelona on 22.02.2026, a 0-1 loss to Villarreal on 18.02.2026, a 0-2 reverse against Valencia on 15.02.2026, and a 4-2 away loss to Athletic Bilbao on 08.02.2026, sandwiched around a 0-0 draw with Atlético Madrid on 31.01.2026. This streak underscores their winless run in 80% of their last 15 games and no home victories in the last three. Alaves, meanwhile, have managed only two wins in their last six across all competitions, with no victories in their most recent four, highlighting their inconsistency, particularly on the road.
Key players could sway the outcome, but injuries may disrupt both sides. For Levante, top scorers Etta Eyong (6 goals), Iván Romero (4), and Carlos Álvarez (3) will need to step up, though the team is without Roger Brugué due to an outer ligament tear and Unai Elgezabal with a meniscus tear. Alaves rely on sharpshooters Lucas Boyé, Toni Martínez, and Carlos Vicente, each with five goals, supported by assist leaders Carles Aleñá, Antonio Blanco, and Pablo Ibáñez. However, Alaves will miss goalkeeper Antonio Sivera due to injury, potentially exposing their defense.
Tactically, Levante are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Mathew Ryan in goal, aiming to shore up their leaky defense. Alaves might deploy a similar 4-2-3-1, featuring Raúl Fernández between the posts. Head-to-head encounters show a balanced rivalry; Alaves claimed a 2-1 home win in their most recent meeting, while Levante's last eight home games against Alaves yielded three wins apiece and two draws. The last four meetings ended in two draws, suggesting tight affairs.
Given the data, the prediction leans towards a closely fought match, with Alaves likely holding an edge due to their superior league position and Levante's poor run. However, outcomes could swing on home advantage and key performers, so a draw or narrow Alaves win is possible. We're cautious here, as form fluctuations make it unpredictable.
Recommended Bets
Alaves double chance (win or draw) @1.60 — Levante's four losses in five games and no home wins recently make Alaves a safer bet to at least avoid defeat.
Under 2.5 goals @1.80 — Levante's last five matches produced low scores, with three 0-1 or 0-2 results, indicating a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Alaves to score over 0.5 goals @1.40 — Alaves have multiple top scorers, and Levante's defensive woes (26 goals conceded in 25 games) suggest they could find the net.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
